Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.473722 0.519417 0.569255 0.627943 0.695546 0.771440 0.863743
2025-09-28 0.387503 0.447537 0.518140 0.608475 0.722737 0.864930 1.059377
2025-10-05 0.355288 0.425760 0.513296 0.632547 0.794967 1.015209 1.349374
2025-10-12 0.330248 0.407062 0.506606 0.649196 0.855707 1.157360 1.660749
2025-10-19 0.305971 0.385448 0.491920 0.650708 0.892672 1.269429 1.954534
2025-10-26 0.281210 0.360175 0.468688 0.635710 0.900815 1.336015 2.188361
2025-11-02 0.259773 0.337309 0.446147 0.618208 0.901112 1.387840 2.408637
2025-11-09 0.242608 0.318925 0.428131 0.605062 0.905715 1.446740 2.661197
2025-11-16 0.228039 0.303091 0.412357 0.593389 0.910537 1.506053 2.935098
2025-11-23 0.215670 0.289553 0.398844 0.583726 0.917104 1.569398 3.242977
2025-11-30 0.209583 0.284856 0.398394 0.595489 0.964078 1.724716 3.860562
2025-12-07 0.199465 0.273380 0.386370 0.586058 0.969212 1.790889 4.260279
2025-12-14 0.191298 0.264717 0.378689 0.584370 0.991199 1.905179 4.897360
2025-12-21 0.180525 0.251461 0.362756 0.566549 0.978383 1.935134 5.274843
2025-12-28 0.178198 0.251269 0.368206 0.588279 1.051652 2.201377 6.784183
2026-01-04 0.174775 0.249069 0.370038 0.603298 1.113020 2.458014 8.582005
2026-01-11 0.169306 0.243211 0.365137 0.604661 1.143462 2.637187 10.259500
2026-01-18 0.161869 0.233738 0.353320 0.591132 1.136490 2.700004 11.356139
2026-01-25 0.154608 0.224224 0.340894 0.575328 1.121851 2.734993 12.348379
2026-02-01 0.148429 0.216250 0.330777 0.563445 1.115491 2.797382 13.693284
2026-02-08 0.142845 0.209040 0.321647 0.552884 1.111151 2.866888 15.281800
2026-02-15 0.137869 0.202654 0.313676 0.544136 1.110433 2.950823 17.258569
2026-02-22 0.135884 0.201265 0.314745 0.554785 1.163279 3.261581 22.872975